CORNERBETTING.COM
Premiership Corner Statistics and Betting
It's
been a while since I've had a look at the corner stats. Over the next
month I wil update the corner statistics for this season. This site
will now become a tipping and blog site, rather than the corner
statitsics and betting that the site has been the previous two seasons.
Please enjoy the articles below.
Friday 16th March - "We'll score when we want... we're Man Utd.... but not two before half time"
Wigan v WBA
Given the two side’s respective home and away records, I’m more than happy to take on Wigan.
• Wigan one won game at home this season, back in August against QPR.
• WBA won six away games this season,
• WBA only lost 2 of last 8 away games, winning four of those
5 point WBA plus +0.25 Asian Handicap @ 7/10 with 188bet
3 points WBA Drawn no bet @ 1/1 with Coral / Ladbrokes / Paddy Power
Wolves v Man Utd
Since
the sacking of Mick McCarthy Wolves have been quite frankly awful, the
2-2 draw at Newcastle already feels like a long way away whilst Man Utd
will surely now be fully focused on the league after their exit from
the Europa League. We missed the 2nd half goals last week but I think
the best way to get on United is to back 1-0 at Half time.
• 8 of 14 United away games they have been leading 1-0 at Half time
• United been ahead at Half time 10 of 14 away games
5 points United 1-0 at Half time @ 13/5 with Coral
3 points United Half Time / Full Time @ 10/11 General
Friday 9th March - Bag on 2nd half goals at Old Trafford
I’ve highlighted five selections for you this week from the SimpleSoccerStats console. These are in general confidence below. Take a look and if you see anything you like as well please get in touch or post on the twitter or facebook pages.1. Man Utd v WBA
I expect goals in this match with WBA free scoring away from home. I think the best angle to side with the goals rather than the 4/7 on Over 2.5 is to look at the 2nd half goals market. I’ll outline
• WBA scored in 6 of last 7 away games, blank was 1-0 at Tottenham
• WBA scored 13 goals in their last 6 away games
• United scored at least twice in last 6 home games, 18 in total
• United 2nd halves at home have featured 2 goals or more on 10 of the 13 games.
Looking at the last 6 games respectively you can see their 2nd half results. Rather than risk backing United who have won 5 of the last 6 2nd halves, we’ll play the Over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half, which would have landed 5 of 6 for both team in their current form.
| United 2nd half home results | Total Goals | WBA 2nd half away results | Total Goals |
| 2-1 | 3 | 0-4 | 4 |
| 1-0 | 1 | 1-1 | 2 |
| 2-0 | 2 | 1-1 | 2 |
| 2-2 | 4 | 1-0 | 1 |
| 3-0 | 3 | 1-1 | 2 |
| 2-1 | 3 | 1-2 | 3 |
| Average | 2.67 | Average | 2.33 |
most recent games at the top
(United listed 1st) (WBA listed 2nd)
- 5 points over 1.5 second half goals @ 10/11 with Coral
2. Wolves v Blackburn
• Been 3 goals or more in last 11 Wolves home games
• Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 Wolves home games and 12 of the last 12 Blackburn away games
• 24 goals in last 6 Wolves home matches
• 23 goals in last 6 Blackburn away matches
• Scores a whopping 20/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)
- 2 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 with Stan James
- 2 points both teams to score @ 8/13 General
- 0.5 point Blackburn 3-2 @ 28/1 General
3. Norwich v Wigan
Statistics wise, this doesn’t look at great overs game, but I think you have to look at Norwich home record in more detail. Against top half opposition they’ve played seven games and scored in five of those but against lower half opposition they average 2 goals a game and those games average more goals.
• Over 2.5 goals in last 8 Wigan away games
• Norwich scored in 10 of their 13 home games
• Wigan scored in 6 of their last 8 away games
• Scores a 16/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)
| Norwich Home record | |||||
| Score v Top Half teams | Norwich goals | Goals in Game | Score v Bottom half teams | Norwich goals | Goals in Game |
| 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 |
| 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4-2 | 4 | 6 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 |
| 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Average | 1.14 | 2.57 | Average | 2 | 3.17 |
most recent games at the top
- 2 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 General
- 2 points both teams to score @ 8/11 with bet365 and Skybet
4. Coventry v Birmingham
• Last 3 Birmingham games scored 13 goals
• Coventry only failed to scored once at home all season, scored 15 of 16 games
• Both teams scored in 4 of 6 Coventry home games and 4 of 6 Birmingham away games
• Scores a 16/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)
- 3 points Both teams to score @ 10/11 with Coral
5. Peterborough v Blackpool
Peterborough have lost their goal potency recently but against Blackpool who cannot keep a clean sheet away from home, I’d expect plenty of goals in this one.
• Last 8 Blackpool away games featured over 2.5 goals
• Last 4 Peterborough away games over 2.5 goals
• Blackpool haven’t kept a clean sheet in last 10 away games
- 3 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/6 General
- 1 point Accumulator on all five games highlighted @ roughly 14/1 Stan James
As a side note, it’s also worth reading the bettingzone preview of the football leagues games. They’ve picked out Carlisle again but I don’t fancy them as much against Bury as they are more of a threat and the price isn’t as good as highlighted mid week.
Tuesday 6th March - Count on Carlisle to get the best of the Dale
Derby v Blackpool
There’s been a big move on Blackpool this afternoon after opening up at 8/5 they are now a bet price of 11/8.
• Both teams have scored in all 9 of Blackpool’s last 9 games (home and away) so the over 2.5 goals in an attractive bet. I prefer this to both teams to score as
• Derby failed to score against Leicester and Reading in their last two run outs at home.
• Blackpool have won their last three away games 3-1
• 11 of last 12 Blackpool away games have had O2.5 goals
3 points over 2.5 goals – 10/11 coral
1 point Blackpool 3-1 – 22/1 ladbrokes
Carlisle v Rochdale
Carlisle have an excellent home record, where as Rochdale are very weak away from home, 8th v 23rd in the table.
• Carlisle haven’t lost at home since 10th September, 12 games unbeaten at home
• Rochdale’s last victory away from Spotland came 9 games ago, a 1-0 win over Preston
• In the last 8 away games, Rochdale have scored one goal, with one 1-1 and three 0-0.
3 points Carlisle -0.25 on Asian Handicap at 1.78 with 188bet
MK Dons v Yeovil
• MK Dons home games average 3.1 goals whilst Yeovil away games average 2.8 goals
• The 8 home and away games for Yeovil have seen both teams score
• Yeovil have scored 8 goals in their last 4 away games
• MK Dons scored 9 goals in their last 4 home games
2 points Both teams to score - 5/6 coral
Swindon v Dagenham and Redbridge
Swindon have an amazing home record winning their last 8 home games. Swindon’s away record is poor, only one away win in their last 14 away games. Rather than back Swindon at 2/5 there is some value on the correct score market.
• Four of Swindon’s last 8 home wins have finished 2-0
1 point Swindon 2-0 - 11/2 with Coral
Friday 2nd March - Will both teams score this weekend? A theory with examples behind the Goal Crazy coupon.
After a 250/1 treble on the football last week, I’m taking a
look at the both teams to score market this weekend.
The Theory
When making selections on this market I tend to look for
four main factors.
A. Home team – how many times have both teams scored in the last 6 home games for the home?
B. Away team – how many times have both teams score in the last 6 games for the away team?
C. Home
matches Over 2.5 goals – How many games have featured over 2.5 goals
for the last 6 games involving the home team at home?
D. Away
matches over 2.5 goals - How many games have featured over 2.5 goals
for the last 6 games involving the away team on their travels?
The beauty of this system is that simplesoccerstats.com
provides all the work for you using their mini console.
In order for a selection to be made, A must equal at least 4
out of 6, B must equal 4 out of 6. Obviously if a team is 5 out of 6, or even 6
out of 6 then this will make a stronger selection. C and D are also important
selections and I look for at least 3 out of 6 on both of these, with preferably
the pair combining to at least 7.
Example
A. Both teams have scored 5 times in the last 6 Oxford home games. Oxford have only failed to score at home on one occasion, a 1-0 loss to Crewe.
B. Swindon have also been involved in games where both teams have scored 5 of their last 6 away games. They have won ten games on the bounce and scored 2 or more in their last four away games.
C. 3 of the 6 Oxford home games have had 3 goals or more with two 1-1 draws.
D. 4 of the 6 Swindon away games have had 3 goals or more, including the last 4.
A final factor to consider is other news. Positions in the
league, team news and obviously price are important. Generally the best
selections are when the away team is a slight favourite.
Di Canio has this to say on the match…. ‘"It's a
special game to play for the players, for the manager but especially for the fans.
I don't want to put more pressure on my players because if they do the job they
have been doing we are going to win again. We want to make it a special day for
our fans. I think they are very happy at the moment for what we have done until
now, but we want more for us. We are going to play our positive, attacking
football because we want to win and get the extra satisfaction from this
game."
All this points to a game where both teams are expected to,
with the match fulfilling the four criteria for a selection.
I’d summarise the game as follows.
|
Match |
Home BTS |
Away BTS |
Home o2.5 |
Away o2.5 |
Total |
Best Price |
|
Oxford v Swindon |
5 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
17 |
5/6 |
* bts = both teams to score
So using these criteria, I’ve laid out potential selections for this weekend.
Sometimes quite a few games qualify for selection, at other times the
selections are minimal.
|
Match |
Home BTS |
Away BTS |
Home o2.5 |
Away o2.5 |
Total |
Best Price |
|
Oxford v Swindon |
5 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
17 |
5/6 |
|
Blackburn v Villa |
5 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
18 |
4/6 |
|
Fulham v Wolves |
4 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
17 |
5/6 |
|
Barnsley v Forest |
5 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
18 |
4/5 |
|
Cardiff v West Ham |
5 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
18 |
4/5 |
|
Bury v Huddersfield |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
17 |
8/11 |
|
Gateshead v Ebbsfleet |
5 |
6 |
3 |
5 |
19 |
7/10 |
|
Southport v Newport |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
19 |
7/10 |
|
York v Hayes |
5 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
20 |
10/11 |
|
Granada v Valencia |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
19 |
4/5 |
Bets – Both teams
to score
1 point on Oxford, Barnsley, Cardiff, Blackburn @ 17/2 with Blue Square
1 point on Blackburn, Fulham, Bury, Granada @ 8/1 with Coral
1 point on York, Bury, Cardiff, Oxford @ 19/2 with bet365
0.1 point Oxford, Blackburn, Fulham Barnsley, Cardiff, Bury,
Gateshead, Southport, York, Granada @ 250/1 General.
Good luck!
Friday 24th February - A statisitcal look at this weekend's Premiership
Man City v Blackburn
Blackburn have scored in every away game this year, if it wasn’t for this stat, we’d take City to Nil as the banker for the weekend. Trying to find a profitable angle when City are 1/5 isn’t easy. City have won 3 of their last 4 games 3-0 at home, Tottenham 3-2 in between so given the strength of the opposition, this looks a fair price. In the three 3-0s, the HT score was 2-0 everytime, so have a small wager on that as well.
City 3-0 -15/2 – Coral
City 2-0 Half time 9/2 Lads
City score both halves – 8/11 Tote
Norwich v United
Man Utd have played 12 games away from home this season and have been leading 1-0 at HT on six of those.
United 1-0 Half time 11/4 Coral
Arsenal v Tottenham
This game always has goals. Back both teams to score or for a more adventurous bet, go for over 5.5 goals or the 4-4 correct score as in 2008.
Over 5.5 goals – 6/1 general
Correct Score 4-4 – 250/1 general
2010/2011 corner stats
When playing at Home
|
When playing Away
| Club | No. Of Away Games | Away Corner Average | Opponent Corner Average | Total Corners Away | Total Opponent Corners | Average Total Corners | Average Corner Margin | Corner Record W-D-L |
| Arsenal | 11 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 67 | 66 | 12.1 | 0.1 | 7-1-4 |
| Aston Villa | 12 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 65 | 78 | 11.9 | -1.1 | 3-1-8 |
| Birmingham | 12 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 41 | 71 | 9.3 | -2.5 | 3-0-8 |
| Blackburn | 12 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 59 | 97 | 13.0 | -3.2 | 2-1-9 |
| Blackpool | 11 | 4.5 | 7.3 | 50 | 80 | 11.8 | -2.8 | 1-2-10 |
| Bolton | 12 | 4.7 | 7.6 | 56 | 91 | 12.3 | -2.9 | 1-2-9 |
| Chelsea | 12 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 70 | 42 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 9-1-2 |
| Everton | 12 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 64 | 59 | 10.2 | 0.4 | 6-2-4 |
| Fulham | 11 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 51 | 50 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 5-3-4 |
| Liverpool | 11 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 48 | 44 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 4-1-7 |
| Man City | 12 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 60 | 60 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 5-1-6 |
| Man Utd | 13 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 79 | 86 | 12.7 | -0.5 | 5-1-5 |
| Newcastle | 12 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 49 | 60 | 9.1 | -0.9 | 4-2-5 |
| Stoke | 12 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 43 | 62 | 8.8 | -1.6 | 3-1-7 |
| Sunderland | 12 | 4.0 | 6.9 | 48 | 83 | 10.9 | -2.9 | 2-1-9 |
| Tottenham | 12 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 67 | 67 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 5-0-6 |
| West Brom | 11 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 56 | 70 | 11.5 | -1.3 | 3-3-6 |
| West Ham | 11 | 3.5 | 8.4 | 39 | 92 | 11.9 | -4.9 | 1-0-11 |
| Wigan | 11 | 3.5 | 7.7 | 39 | 85 | 11.2 | -4.2 | 2-0-9 |
| Wolverhampton | 12 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 80 | 62 | 11.9 | 1.5 | 4-4-3 |
| 234 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 56.5 | 70.5 | 10.9 | -1.3 |
2009/2010 corner stats
When playing at Home
| Club | No. Of Home Games | Home Corner Average | Opponent Corner Average | Total Corners Home | Total Opponent Corners | Average Total Corners | Average Corner Margin | Corner Record W-D-L |
| Arsenal | 19 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 131 | 57 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 17-0-2 |
| Aston Villa | 19 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 137 | 106 | 12.8 | 1.6 | 10-2-7 |
| Birmingham | 19 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 103 | 114 | 11.4 | -0.6 | 7-1-11 |
| Blackburn | 19 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 95 | 91 | 9.8 | 0.2 | 10-2-7 |
| Bolton | 19 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 106 | 129 | 12.4 | -1.2 | 3-3-13 |
| Burnley | 19 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 101 | 99 | 10.5 | 0.1 | 8-2-9 |
| Chelsea | 19 | 7.4 | 3.3 | 141 | 63 | 10.7 | 4.1 | 14-0-5 |
| Everton | 19 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 122 | 93 | 11.3 | 1.5 | 12-0-7 |
| Fulham | 19 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 101 | 72 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 12-3-4 |
| Hull | 19 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 93 | 112 | 10.8 | -1.0 | 7-1-11 |
| Liverpool | 19 | 8.2 | 3.1 | 156 | 59 | 11.3 | 5.1 | 15-1-3 |
| Manchester City | 19 | 7.6 | 4.8 | 144 | 91 | 12.4 | 2.8 | 16-0-3 |
| Manchester United | 19 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 165 | 53 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 15-2-2 |
| Portsmouth | 19 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 108 | 124 | 12.2 | -0.8 | 8-2-9 |
| Stoke | 19 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 110 | 106 | 11.4 | 0.2 | 9-3-7 |
| Sunderland | 19 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 86 | 120 | 10.8 | -1.8 | 5-3-11 |
| Tottenham | 19 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 143 | 89 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 11-1-7 |
| West Ham | 19 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 99 | 110 | 11.0 | -0.6 | 8-2-9 |
| Wigan | 19 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 106 | 95 | 10.6 | 0.6 | 8-3-8 |
| Wolves | 19 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 99 | 89 | 9.9 | 0.5 | 10-4-5 |
| Total | 380 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 2344 | 1875 | 11.1 | 1.2 | 205-35-140 |
When playing Away
| Club | No. Of Home Games | Away Corner Average | Opponent Corner Average | Total Away Corners | Total Opponent Corners | Average Total Corners | Average Corner Margin | Corner Record W-D-L |
| Arsenal | 19 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 125 | 74 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 15-2-2 |
| Aston Villa | 19 | 5.4 | 8.0 | 103 | 152 | 13.4 | -2.6 | 5-0-14 |
| Birmingham | 19 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 86 | 127 | 11.2 | -2.2 | 5-1-13 |
| Blackburn | 19 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 86 | 110 | 10.3 | -1.3 | 6-3-10 |
| Bolton | 19 | 4.4 | 7.3 | 84 | 139 | 11.7 | -2.9 | 3-0-16 |
| Burnley | 19 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 78 | 106 | 9.7 | -1.5 | 5-3-11 |
| Chelsea | 19 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 143 | 95 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 13-2-4 |
| Everton | 19 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 105 | 105 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 8-2-9 |
| Fulham | 19 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 80 | 133 | 11.2 | -2.8 | 5-2-12 |
| Hull | 19 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 57 | 162 | 11.5 | -5.5 | 1-2-16 |
| Liverpool | 19 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 110 | 82 | 10.1 | 1.5 | 12-2-5 |
| Manchester City | 19 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 91 | 103 | 10.2 | -0.6 | 7-3-9 |
| Manchester United | 19 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 125 | 74 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 13-0-6 |
| Portsmouth | 19 | 4.1 | 8.2 | 78 | 156 | 12.3 | -4.1 | 1-3-15 |
| Stoke | 19 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 70 | 133 | 10.7 | -3.3 | 3-3-13 |
| Sunderland | 19 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 95 | 118 | 11.2 | -1.2 | 8-4-7 |
| Tottenham | 19 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 99 | 103 | 10.6 | -0.2 | 9-2-8 |
| West Ham | 19 | 4.3 | 7.4 | 82 | 141 | 11.7 | -3.1 | 5-0-14 |
| Wigan | 19 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 76 | 105 | 9.5 | -1.5 | 8-0-11 |
| Wolves | 19 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 106 | 127 | 12.3 | -1.1 | 8-1-10 |
| Total | 380 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 1875 | 2344 | 11.1 | -1.2 | 140-35-205 |